On November 4, the GDPNow model put estimated US real GDP growth for the fourth quarter of 2026 at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.4%. Its previous estimate, dated November 2, was 3.7%.
The revision incorporated releases from the Census Bureau, the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Institute for Supply Management, reducing estimated consumer spending and private investment growth. GDPNow changes as new indicators become available. It is neither a final GDP result nor an official Atlanta Fed forecast. Its next update was scheduled for November 9.
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Current and Past GDPNow Commentaries — November 4, 2026The figure is an annualized quarterly rate, not year-over-year growth.
Additional documentation
The model’s main page explains that it is not an official forecast and displays the current estimate.
Original CYBERSEC.mx summary based on the linked sources. Refer to the original documents for technical details and updates.